Bitcoin’s lower lows worry traders — But is the BTC bull market really in danger?


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Bitcoin’s worth has seen large good points in current months, accelerating from $11,000 to just about $62,000. Nonetheless, such spectacular rallies additionally embody comparatively calm intervals of worth motion.

These intervals are consolidative and are wanted for the market to discover a new flooring. In bull markets, bullish continuation is probably going after these intervals of ranging earlier than one other leg up can occur. 

At the moment, Bitcoin’s (BTC) worth appears to be in such a interval simply over per week after hitting all-time highs above $61,000. 

The $53,000 degree has to carry to keep away from extra draw back

BTC/USD 4-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

The four-hour chart for BTC/USD reveals a transparent downtrend since its current all-time excessive in mid-March. This occurred after a breakthrough previous $58,000. Nonetheless, this transfer confirmed weak point, as there wasn’t any signal of latest consumers stepping in for extra upside.

In different phrases, a bullish energy could be demonstrated with a rise in quantity, which didn’t occur. Due to this fact, a correction again to $50,000 is a really regular, wholesome prevalence for this market.

Furthermore, the chart reveals a short-term downtrend by which decrease highs and decrease lows are being constructed. On this regard, Bitcoin’s worth landed within the $53,000 help zone, which could be categorized because the important help zone to carry.

If this $53,000 help doesn’t maintain, an additional correction towards $49,000 to $50,800 is inevitable, and the markets are going to see extra blood.

Then again, if the $53,000 space holds, Bitcoin’s worth has to interrupt by means of the $56,200 space to generate energy as soon as once more. In that regard, the $56,200 space could be thought of the important resistance zone to interrupt in the meanwhile.

Nonetheless, even when $56,200 breaks, there are nonetheless different resistances remaining overhead earlier than Bitcoin’s worth can purpose for brand spanking new all-time highs.

Every day time-frame reveals large bull cycle 

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

The day by day chart for Bitcoin reveals an obvious bullish cycle that’s continually making increased highs and better lows. Merchants and traders ought to at all times zoom out to keep away from any confusion concerning the general development. Merely put, the value motion of Bitcoin remains to be bullish.

Due to this fact, a correction to the $50,000 space would nonetheless be very regular, if not anticipated, because the $50,000 space is a large help zone.

Even when Bitcoin’s worth corrects additional to the $44,000 space, the bullish development remains to be legitimate, as these sideways ranges have been taking place very often since breaking the 2017 all-time excessive.

So long as Bitcoin stays above $44,000, and ideally $50,000, the bearish divergence will turn into invalid, as historical past has proven a number of examples of this.

Comparable development seen after the halving in 2020

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

The chart development after the halving of Might 2020 appears to be like equivalent to the current worth motion of Bitcoin. In that sense, a failed breakout doesn’t assure {that a} bear market is imminent.

Bulls needs to be affected person, as a brand new flooring could also be established for Bitcoin’s worth. After this compression and development, a brand new impulse wave can occur as soon as once more, as seen in August 2020. In that interval, Bitcoin’s worth accelerated from $9,500 to $12,000.

The chart above reveals the invalidation of the bearish divergence, as new decrease lows didn’t happen. The present worth motion may very well be portray an analogous image, by which a backside needs to be made between $44,000 and $50,000 to keep away from new decrease lows. If that occurs, Bitcoin’s worth will invalidate the bearish divergences and the bull market will proceed.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the author and don’t essentially mirror the views of Cointelegraph. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat. It’s best to conduct your personal analysis when making a call.